Nuclear-Use Cases For Contemplating Crisis And Conflict On The Korean Peninsula

This paper motivates and sketches a set of nuclear-use cases involving conflict on the Korean peninsula. The reflect wide range ways that nuclear weapons might be brandished or used in crisis. We identify possible by using two different lenses: “logical” taxonomic lens decisionmaking asks how an actual national leader decide to use first. then select from space possibilities usefully. consider mistakes, unintended escalation, coercive threats, limited reinforce defensive operations, offensive operations. They also potential role fear, desperation, responsibility, grandiosity, indomitability, other human emotions. Some are far more plausible than others at present, but estimating likelihoods is dubious activity. real challenge avoid circumstances where would become likely.